Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 190.998116 220.242656 253.314024 293.650891 341.746569 397.533867 467.542869
2025-10-12 156.027592 194.733730 242.815684 307.615072 393.702417 505.620568 664.575136
2025-10-19 130.858735 172.206561 226.947157 306.021823 419.504511 579.922942 830.185788
2025-10-26 116.858844 160.550325 221.496848 314.798076 457.815209 675.303974 1044.364585
2025-11-02 105.169212 149.750897 214.720172 319.214210 488.783638 763.814202 1267.342494
2025-11-09 96.156863 141.282091 209.635087 324.543829 520.936017 859.042570 1524.138534
2025-11-16 87.548093 132.155404 202.024889 324.129755 542.664487 939.707495 1774.171332
2025-11-23 80.208380 124.044006 194.809390 322.931680 562.197933 1019.383379 2042.855125
2025-11-30 74.756208 118.298778 190.644212 326.166358 589.961269 1119.760993 2383.580039
2025-12-07 67.469058 108.709196 178.802061 313.711174 585.206568 1153.028384 2580.656116
2025-12-14 62.442785 102.461238 172.063238 309.794974 596.673909 1222.629574 2886.720710
2025-12-21 58.996435 98.613686 169.155483 312.782827 622.815628 1330.059968 3325.656814
2025-12-28 57.500629 98.505737 173.845820 333.254988 694.534093 1571.031861 4261.442457
2026-01-04 55.390256 97.109588 176.070263 349.395038 761.195647 1822.749653 5370.150959
2026-01-11 51.539352 92.003452 170.391738 347.542432 784.654027 1968.455438 6214.030259
2026-01-18 49.310120 89.765862 170.153428 357.737229 840.485141 2222.781244 7601.293003
2026-01-25 46.818464 86.739288 167.897543 362.870064 884.396872 2457.287109 9071.794289
2026-02-01 44.649159 84.134658 166.207193 369.067154 932.813790 2723.853820 10880.120909
2026-02-08 42.146813 80.597911 162.080961 368.585585 962.250811 2938.767164 12623.571928
2026-02-15 39.808217 77.185867 157.850670 367.192316 988.872284 3154.814838 14565.653986
2026-02-22 38.034031 74.813400 155.710128 370.954312 1032.544494 3452.711824 17258.091654
2026-03-01 35.209528 69.923151 147.251168 356.474221 1014.713686 3504.346916 18515.959804
2026-03-08 33.252900 66.787385 142.619331 351.924470 1029.065767 3695.794760 20912.206600